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Economic Outlook Roundtable: What Yorkshire’s Finance Leaders Are Saying About Growth, Hiring and the Road Ahead

Senior finance professionals from across Yorkshire recently joined Sharp Consultancy for an exclusive roundtable discussion featuring an economic update from Paul Mount, Economist and Deputy Agent at the Bank of England. The session provided a timely, in-depth look at the UK’s economic landscape — followed by a candid conversation about what businesses are experiencing on the ground.The picture that emerged was one of cautious realism. While official forecasts point to easing inflation and a gradual return to stability, many organisations across the region continue to navigate weak demand, rising labour costs, tightening legislation and stalled investment projects. Yet despite these pressures, there remains a strong sense of resilience and adaptability — qualities that have long defined the Yorkshire business community. At Sharp Consultancy, our specialist finance and accountancy teams speak daily to employers and professionals across commerce, industry, public practice and the not-for-profit sector. What we heard in this session closely aligns with the insight we gather from clients and candidates across the region. Below, we explore the key themes shaping business confidence, recruitment activity and the outlook for 2026. ​Inflation Is Easing, but Confidence Has Yet to Follow The Bank of England outlined its latest central forecast: Inflation expected to gradually return toward the 2% target. GDP growth set to remain modest but stable through 2026. Interest rates anticipated to settle around 3.5% based on market expectations. Unemployment projected to hold near 5%. However, the sentiment in the room was clear: despite improving headline numbers, confidence across most sectors remains fragile. Many organisations described the environment as “flat” — not contracting, but unable to capitalise fully on opportunities due to economic uncertainty. Sharp Consultancy continues to see this play out: businesses are stabilising rather than expanding, focusing on cash management, operational efficiency and carefully controlled hiring. ​Labour Costs Continue to Reshape Workforce Strategies Wage pressures were a recurring theme throughout the discussion. Employers highlighted: Significant increases to the National Living Wage. Higher employer National Insurance contributions. Expected future changes to minimum wage equalisation for younger workers. Rising cost and complexity associated with apprenticeships. These factors are pushing up costs at every level of the workforce and reshaping recruitment behaviours. Across Sharp Consultancy’s accountancy and finance divisions, we are seeing: Strong demand for replacement hires where roles are business critical. Lower volumes of growth hires, particularly in commercial and project-focused appointments. Clients increasingly prioritising candidates who bring breadth, adaptability and long-term value. ​Construction & Infrastructure: Capacity Under Pressure Leaders from the construction sector painted a challenging picture — one mirrored by many Sharp Consultancy clients operating across the wider built environment. Key themes included: Planning delays of 9–10 months, particularly related to the Building Safety Act. Businesses holding on to workforce capacity despite reduced margins — a strategy that may not be sustainable in 2026. Difficulty justifying new capital expenditure under IFRS when future cashflows are uncertain. Concerns that smaller subcontractors may not withstand prolonged delays or reduced demand.Yet, attendees also highlighted that construction could become a catalyst for economic recovery — provided policy reform and planning improvements unlock stalled projects. ​Manufacturing: Rising Costs and Shifting OperationsLeaders representing manufacturing shared concerns around: Rising energy and operational costs. Increased frequency of site closures and offshoring. Significant challenges in attracting engineering and technical talent. Early signs of contraction in several sub-sectors, with aerospace a notable exception. These pressures reinforce the growing importance of finance leaders who can model scenarios, manage volatility and guide long-term planning — roles Sharp Consultancy continues to support across the manufacturing landscape. ​Charity & Public Sector Organisations Facing Acute Strain For organisations reliant on local authority funding, the challenges are particularly stark. Attendees reported: Government and council funding caps. Rising NI, wage costs and VAT changes adding millions to annual budgets. Increasingly complex consultation requirements under forthcoming employment legislation. The likelihood of significant cuts to the frontline services in the months ahead.Sharp Consultancy’s continues to work closely with organisations navigating these pressures, supporting clients through restructuring, recruitment challenges and financial planning needs. ​​​Recruitment Outlook: Stability Over Expansion Across sectors, the message was consistent: 2026 is expected to be cautious, steady and focused on maintaining capability rather than expanding headcount. Attendees forecast: Workforce levels remaining broadly flat. Hiring driven by essential replacement roles. Transformation, M&A and large-scale project hiring likely to remain subdued. Improved recruitment confidence only once interest rates and policy direction stabilise. For employers, this means sharper competition for high-quality finance talent — an area where Sharp Consultancy’s specialist teams continue to provide targeted, market-led support. ​What Comes Next? A Slow but Steady Rebuild Despite the challenges discussed, the roundtable ended on a constructive note. Many leaders believe that once interest rates settle and stalled investment begins to move, the region could see a more meaningful upturn — potentially from 2026 onwards. Yorkshire businesses have proven time and again that they are resourceful, resilient and ready to adapt. Sharp Consultancy remains committed to supporting them through every stage — whether stabilising teams, recruiting future leaders, or navigating the next phase of growth. If you’d like to understand what these economic trends mean for your business or team, speak to our specialist consultants for a confidential market discussion. ​Contacts Us​

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Salary Survey Update by Executive Director, Lee Sweeney

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What an interesting year 2023 was, characterised by a rather stop/start roller coaster ride as market sentiment waxed and waned.

The rarely seen before salary rises of 2022, driven by climbing inflation and a continued shortage in supply of skilled and talented people began to slow in 2023. A degree of normality returned, though not entirely as supply still fell short of demand (though by a narrowing gap) and inflation, though falling, remained stubbornly high, as did interest rates.

Turning to 2024, what can we expect? Q1 saw a distinct pick up in demand for finance staff at all levels. Inflation fell further, interest rates appear to have peaked and the belief is that they will drop and economic growth of 0.6% in the quarter finally rid us of the word ‘recession’.

The push by employers to return employees to a greater degree of office-based working (as opposed to home based) has continued. Employers seem to have found their confidence to push this issue a little further; anecdotally with many reporting a drop in output if the split is too biased towards home. Hybrid/flexible working continues to be a hot topic.

"The quiet period that was the last half of 2023 is now well behind us"

Historically, the M&A market (mergers and acquisitions) has often proved a foreteller of things to come. When that market goes quiet, usually a drop in demand for any type of finance staff follows within the next quarter or two and the opposite is true. This is probably because M&A is often closely associated with how strong business’ sentiment and confidence is. Currently, and again anecdotally, despite some evidence that might appear to the contrary (e.g. Deloitte withdrawing from the regional M&A mid- market in early 2024 and making their teams redundant) M&A advisors, transactional lenders and investors in the north have been reporting a sudden jump in WIP. So have we and as the largest independent, dedicated accountancy and finance recruitment business in Yorkshire we have a very strong sample pool.

Now comes the hard part where I stare into my crystal ball and try and predict the future; here goes: The quiet period that was the last half of 2023 is now well behind us. We have falling inflation, we expect falling interest rates, we have economic growth, and we expect more of it (though not at high levels), we have seen a real uptick in vacancies and as mentioned in the previous paragraph, M&A WIP appears to be building. I believe we will see a strong 2nd half of 2024 which whilst not rivalling 2022 will most likely be well ahead of pre-pandemic levels of 2019.

What does this mean for employers? Even last year demand never fell behind supply, the gap simply narrowed. That gap will probably widen again. When you hire you will need to be on your mettle. Salaries and benefits well need to be competitive. Flexibility (like hybrid working) will remain high on many people’s agenda and if you don’t offer any, hiring the best people will be much more difficult. Processes will need to be slick and proficient; they will also need to be quick. It will remain a seller’s market and you will have competition for anyone with skill and talent.

Lee Sweeney is Executive Director at Sharp Consultancy and advises major accounting practices, venture capitalists and banks in the North of England on the appointment of senior finance professionals; contact Lee on 0113 236 6300.